However, we plan to make use of the weaknesses within the credit markets triggered by the market’s overly aggressive assumptions of the Fed’s policy stance to add to period dangers. Treasury markets are excessive, given that the present degree already reflects expectations for greater than 10 interest rate hikes in 2022, along with the aggressive QT path. Secondly, the longer the Russia-Ukraine battle continues, the more probably global commodity prices might stay elevated, further deteriorating the growth-inflation mix. The market already shifted the expectation of world inflation fading from Q to the latter half of the 12 months. With international central banks already prioritizing inflation risks over progress slowdown risks of their coverage focus, international growth momentum will likely deteriorate further in Q2 2022.
